CHISINAU (Reuters) --- An election in
ex-Soviet Moldova next
weekend will decide how closely it sticks to its path of European integration
in defiance of Russia , as
neighboring Ukraine
struggles to handle a war triggered by following a similar pro-Europe line.
The country - one
of Europe's smallest and poorest on the western rim of the old Soviet Union -
has moved closer to the European mainstream than any other ex-Soviet republic,
barring the Baltic states .
But, as a Nov. 30
parliamentary election approaches, opinion polls show Moldova 's public deeply divided
over whether to stick to this path or change tack and join a Russia-led
economic bloc.
The course pursued
by the three-party Alliance for European Integration, in power since 2009, has
earned Moldova, a landlocked country of 3.5 million bordered by Ukraine and EU
member Romania, a ban on imports of its vegetables, wines and meats by Russia,
its biggest energy supplier.
Disenchantment with
the center-right coalition's poor record in fighting corruption and rivalry
among its leaders as well as nostalgia for the stability of Soviet times could
result in a big vote for the left next Sunday.
But Moldova 's
leaders say they are confident of keeping to a pro-Europe track nonetheless.
Prime Minister
Iurie Leanca, interviewed by Reuters, saw no retreat from the pro-Europe course
and predicted relations with Russia
would become smoother.
Describing a new
contract for Russian gas supplies next year as a "good signal",
Leanca said: "We will return to the Russian market with better quality
wines, fruit and vegetable products."
If Alliance
parties win enough votes to regain a majority in the 101-seat parliament or are
forced into a coalition with the powerful communists - rivals but a moderate
pro-EU force also seeking strong economic ties with Russia
- Moldova will stay on
course for Europe , analysts say.
What could
complicate its pro-Europe drive is a strong showing by the socialist party
which prefers joining the Russia-led Customs Union.
The socialists,
whose leader recently met Russia 's
Vladimir Putin, say the pro-Europe course will cut Moldova
off from a powerful and stable ally, Russia , which can provide plentiful
supplies of cheap gas.
"I don't
believe in the sincerity of the EU even when they offer credits and guarantees.
There is confrontation now between Russia
and the West which is directed by the United States . But my family will
vote for Moldova 's
'eastern' development," said Igori Tronin, a 62-year-old pensioner.
But Mircea Snegur,
first president of independent Moldova ,
attacking socialist leader Igor Dodon for holding talks in the Kremlin, told
Reuters: "People must understand that returning to the swamp we struggled
out of will not lead to anything good."
Even if the
socialists muscle their way into any coalition, most people think that with a
bedrock association agreement with the EU now ratified and with Moldovans now
enjoying visa-free travel to Europe the country has gone too far down the road
of European integration to turn back.
There are good
reasons why Moldova does not
touch the same raw nerve in Russia
as Ukraine
does. Moldova 's borders are
about 800 km (500 miles) from those of Russia and its leadership has shown
no interest in membership of U.S.-led NATO.
With defense
spending minuscule, it shows no intention of using force to recover
Transdniestria, a Moscow-supported breakaway enclave which has drawn
comparisons with the newly proclaimed 'people's republics' at the center of the
separatist war in eastern Ukraine.
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